The recent data from International Monetary Fund shows that in Q4, 2019,
the dollars share in global foreign reserves reported by the IMF
dropped to 60.8% compared to the previous quarter, falling for the
second straight quarter.To get more news about
USD’s Proportion, you can visit
wikifx news official website.
As the number of confirmed cases continues to rise, the United States
has now become the epicenter of the global coronavirus outbreak. Before
the large-scale outbreak in the United States, due to the spread of the
virus across the world and the consequent interruption of global supply
chain, US stocks promptly responded with a heavy slump that triggered
trading curb four times in just a few weeks, with the S&P 500 index
tumbling by 20% from the highest point with unprecedented speed.
Under bailout pressure, the Fed took swift actions within a short
period by first adopting zero interest rate and then launching
large-scale quantitative easing, with a speed and intensity far beyond
the interpretation of traditional currency theories and expectations
from the market. While the Fed's policies have been somewhat effective
in the short term, some experts pointed out that the series of
approaches are essentially printing US dollars recklessly which will
lead to dollar's depreciation, dividing the cost of market rescue
efforts on the world. Experts warn that from historical experience,
excessive quantitative easing is currency devaluation which
“beggar-thy-neighbor”, boosting hidden risks of global inflation.
In fact, the Feds monetary policies have still failed to achieve
satisfactory results, and the US government has no choice but to issue
another US$2 trillion fiscal stimulus bill. Obviously, huge fiscal
stimulus will seriously threaten the sustainability of US government
debt, and as the number of unemployed people increases, the extreme gap
between rich and poor will greatly reduce US society's resilience to
economic shocks.
Some analysts pointed out that after this round of crisis, the US
dollar's share in the international currency reserve may decline
further.
On the other hand, data previously released by the IMF showed that
while the share of the dollar has fallen, the share of the Renminbi in
global foreign exchange reserves has risen. In the fourth quarter of
2019, global foreign exchange reserves increased to US$11.829 trillion,
up 1.5% from the previous quarter and more than 3% from the fourth
quarter of 2018. These include RMB assets worth of about US$202.79
billion, accounting for 1.89% of the global official foreign exchange
reserve assets and surpassing the share of Aussie dollar (1.62%) and
Canadian dollar (1.84%).
With previous epicenters Wuhan and Hubei Province ending their
lockdown restrictions, China is accelerating resumption of production;
the Chinese government has relatively greater fiscal space, and coupled
with significant reduction in leverage over the past four years, the RMB
assets' overall performance is relatively stable, showing the
characteristics of safe-haven assets.
Analysts pointed out that China's current national bond yields are
higher, therefore more attractive to international investors, and the
RMB exchange rate will remain on the track of appreciation in the
long-term.
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