The Dollar posted weekly gain due from Covid 19
The dollar posted weekly gains due to fears of spreading waves from
the Covid-19 pandemic. The total number of cases in Germany increased by
913 to 173,152 on Thursday and Friday. While the number of dead rose
101 to 7,824 after the country made lockdown relaxation. New cases have
also been noted in various countries which loosened lockdown rules,
dashing optimism about the recovery of the global economy. To get more
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With the waning hopes of a global economy recovering quickly, market
participants are again after safe haven assets, such as the US dollar.
Safe-haven demand increased after renewed tensions between the US and
China. President Trump stated that he was reluctant to dialogue with
President XI Jinping and said that his party could have cut off
relations with China. The pound fell 0.6% last Friday to $ 1.2155, the
lowest since March 27, after European Union Brexit negotiator Michel
Barnier said on Friday that the third round of talks with Britain was
“disappointing”. While the euro also fell after data showing the German
economy contracted 2.2% in the 1-2020 quarter. At present the German
economy has entered a recession from the 2009 financial crisis.
Spot gold prices touched a 7.5-year high last Friday, while US gold
futures rose to a one-month high after disappointing US data. Last
Friday's data showed retail sales fell 16.4%, while industrial output
fell 11.4%, marking the worst monthly performance for both data because
the Covid-19 pandemic nearly paralyzed the US economy. . The price of
gold has soared following the escalation of new US-China tensions.
Although overshadowed by concerns about renewed tensions between the US
and China, oil prices managed to strengthen last week. Sentiment that
drives oil prices includes efforts to cut output by oil producing
countries. Saudi Arabia said Monday it would cut more production by 1
million bpd in June. Meanwhile, although US President Donald Trump is
outraged against China, this can be masked by Chinese data, which led
WTI to rise to the $ 30 per barrel area. Data last Friday showed China's
industrial output rose 3.9% in April, recovering after falling 1.1% in
March.
Oil prices also rose after the number of rigs in the US declined, as
well as EIA data that showed US oil reserves fell for the first time in
15 weeks by 745 thousand barrels. On Friday the price of WTI oil rose
6.8% to $ 29.43 a barrel, while Brent rose 4.4% to $ 32.50. During the
week WTI rose 19%, while Brent rose 5%. US stock index futures gained
amid mixed sentiment after the reopening of the economy around the world
was offset by warnings that economic recovery will take a long time.
The S&P 500 index rose 0.6%. Meanwhile, Asian stock index futures
moved varied. In Asia, the Hong Kong futures index fell, but shares in
Japan and Australia strengthened. Focus This Week: Powell, Bailey, Lowe
& PMI Data There are three central bank officials who will deliver
speeches this week, they are the chairman of the Fed, Jerome Powell, BoE
Governor Andrew Bailey, and RBA Governor Phillip Lowe. Another market
focus is PMI data services and manufacturing services in the UK and US.
Other data that is worth looking at is the US Jobless Claims and the
Philly Fed Manufacturing Index. Meanwhile, the Fed will also release its
minutes.