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全世界所有的操盤室裏都有這麼一種人，他們經常奔相走告：看看，我說什麼來著，跟我預測的沒錯吧、我就知道會怎麼怎麼樣、我要不是怎麼怎麼樣，我當時就這麼做了、諸如此類的話。這個人可能就是你。不否認我以前也這樣過。To get more news about CMS Prime, you can visit wikifx.com official website.
這種人往往會被嗤之以鼻，往往會被認為是事後諸葛。但是他們真的沒有預測對嗎？那倒不一定。我身邊就不乏這樣的“高手”。只可惜這樣的高手經常不被人們看好的原因就是他們自己的交易記錄並不怎麼樣。
問題到底出在哪里了呢？這樣的高手通常犯一個毛病，那就是他們只會炫耀自己作預測對的地方。做錯的地方並沒有示人。這裏面是有不同的。不同的就是預測到的地方肯定沒入場。入場的地方肯定沒有做對。
這連“高手”們自己都奇怪，到底是怎麼了？所以他們會迴圈在預測對的地方大肆炫耀來彌補自己錯誤的挫敗感的圈子裏面。而且會非常自信的堅信自己肯定會在投機市場裏面盈利，那只是時間問題。他們認為自己還是沒有研究出更好的方案。
我可以負責任的說，任何人都無法研究出90%以上成功率的方案。我們的大腦比不過很多天才，更比不過電腦。我們自己最好能看清自己，趕緊放棄自己能成為技術派大師的想法吧。
這樣的藉口也無非是在自己的內心深處掩飾自己不敢面對失敗的膽怯心理。其實這個問題要是不及時解決真有可能是困擾一輩子的事情。至少我們沒有那麼多時間和資金支持著這麼個惡性循環。
這一關過了才能從“高手”蛻變成一個真正的穩定盈利者。我的一個學生剛剛接觸外匯的時候跟我說的一句話是：做外匯要看心態。當時我對他的評價是：現在還不是談心態的時候。但如今我對他的勸告就是：控制好自己的情緒。
我自己也經歷過從研究技術－小有成就－成為大家眼中的大師－虧損的挫敗－穩定盈利的人。成為“大師”那段時間裏。我已經不看任何指標了完全憑著感覺下單，的確創造了傲人的喊單記錄。
當一段時間的虧損把我打的暈頭轉向的時候卻變得異常地謹慎和小心。可是虧損並沒有因為我的謹慎而縮小和停止。當我最後再次把一切都交給了規則同時忘掉那些虧損的痛苦經歷的時候才重新再次建立了信心。但是我卻再也無法達到曾經的，別人眼中的那種“完美”。
現在想想其實那種完美是有缺陷的。它讓你進入一種只能成功不能失敗的誤區；進入了一種為了維持“大師”形象變得小心謹慎而錯失機會的誤區。
看到做不到的原因有：
一、不自信
交易系統還是沒有經過千錘百煉。當然這個千錘百煉指的是技術結合入場的千錘百煉，而不單單是模擬和預測的千錘百煉。這絕對是不一樣的，要想在戰場上取勝，沒上過戰場肯定是不行的。無論你演習怎麼成功都沒用，因為演習是不會要你命的。
有個大師的一本書裏提到，每當他屢戰屢敗的時候他就減少倉位，直到信心完全建立起來為止。他不會停止入場，就是要時刻保持著這麼一種狀態。而我們大多數人往往被虧損嚇壞的時候就變得沒有了入場的勇氣。
當發現模擬的不錯的時候再次入場，面臨的更大可能是再次的虧損。就是因為你的技術感覺在而作戰狀態其實並不跟隨著你。當你不畏艱險用輕倉累積了更多次的成功的時候，你才會再次變得自信。在逐步增大倉位的時候才能變得不畏縮。那時候我的切身感覺過的就是再次見到了曙光。
二、為錯失入場機會找藉口
其實這是一種軟弱的表現。當我們知道穩定盈利的交易方案而錯失機會的時候其最主要的根源在於軟弱。這其實比做錯了還應該受到責備。錯失入場機會的人往往會通過這樣的理由告訴別人其實也在告訴自己還是能夠有入場能力的，只不過是小概率的事件影響了自己。
經常這麼做的人在面臨入場機會的時候還會軟弱，因為還有“判斷正確”這個心理獎賞在等著自己。這種狀態是活在精神意淫中。如果把“不為失敗找藉口，只為成功做準備”當成自己的座右銘。告訴自己。
錯過比做錯更有危害的時候這種心理狀態才能慢慢扭轉。如果還沒達到這種狀態，那麼先從別到處宣揚自己的“正確判斷”開始吧。現在應該明白了。這應該比做錯錯誤更大。
三、“利字當頭”
很多人在有了一段穩定的盈利，更尤甚者是模擬穩定盈利了之後會說：我要是這麼一天5%，那麼我一年會如何如何，5年會身家億萬，用不了10年就超巴菲特，蓋茨等等。其實要是一天虧這麼多呢，那麼用不了1年就能進丐幫了。
我們的確都是因為盈利才來到這個搶錢市場。但是我們只想到盈利而不想到有可能造成的虧損就會歷經無畏到畏縮恐懼的過程。市場還是市場，它根本就不會因為你的無畏還是畏縮而有絲毫的改變。而這兩個來自你內心深處的東西都是能絕對的打敗你，讓你根本沒有還手之力。
完全的不想盈利還真的不現實。只不過這兩個心魔的原因就是來自於“利”。從根本上放下了“利”才能變得更從容。說來容易做來不易，其實這真的是個富人的遊戲，在你不在乎得失的時候；在你每次入場都認為我的止損位置的錢我已經下定決心不要的時候會驚人的發現：原來我們竟然想放棄的東西就是放不掉，就是不容易虧損。
中國的文化很有意思，利其實是鋒利的意思。如果你只知道現代文裏的意思，就很容易被鋒利的刀刃傷到。避免“利”其實是在避免遇到鋒利。
四、名譽為大
這個問題往往發生在一些資深交易員身上。當自己取得了不錯的成績並且被眾人認可，並且非常強烈的願望希望能通過自己的經驗讓周圍的人獲利；希望用自己的經驗獲取更多多鮮花、美譽、和掌聲的時候。問題出現了。
多年的經驗不管用了，急躁的心情使得越想贏利越虧損，越想彌補虧損窟窿越大。“不能錯”這個想法讓自己裹足不前，每每放走盈利的機會。就是想向眾人展示自己沒有錯。這時候多年的交易系統已經變得不清晰了。
當被懊惱、悔恨纏繞的時候哪里還有什麼判斷？只有當自己放平心態，把自己再次歸零，不去急著像別人證明自己是“大師”，不去急著挽回多年建立的名譽。完全把自己看成一個初學者，聽不見周圍的口舌的時候，狀態才再次回到你這裏。這也是一個較漫長難以突破的過程。
五、貪生怕死
有句古話：未知生何知死。沒死過的人怎麼就一定認為死是件很痛苦的事呢？《莊子》裏面的一個故事。一個美女在被嫁到皇宮之前哭的死去活來。但是一到皇宮裏發現過的神仙般的日子，才知道當時的恐懼真是可笑。
我們在市場裏面都是會把沒有來臨的虧損在自己的心裏面放大。比方說一個公平的賭場，而且在賠率明顯傾向賭客的賭場。讓一個人去賠掉一萬美金，幾乎每個人都會認為很容易；但是如果讓你去賺一萬美金呢？每個人都會覺得很難。
其實是一樣的，有多容易賠錢就有多容易賺錢。只不過是我們心裏在作怪罷了。我們把沒有來臨的風險看得過重。這導致我們在取得蠅頭小利的時候可能會見好就跑。因為你太害怕虧損了。忘掉生死，去達到一個無我的狀態，才能敢於去賺大錢。否則你守不住你的賺錢的倉位。
《莊子》裏面還有個故事。一個專門給皇帝做祭祀用的架子的工匠，做出來的東西鬼斧神功，惟妙惟肖。很多人認為這個工匠一定是技藝高超到了登峰造極的地步。其實那個工匠說：每次接到這個任務的時候他都要齋戒。
當齋戒到三天的時候就可以忘利，齋戒到10天的時候可以忘名，到半個月的時候就能達到忘生死的地步。他到了樹林裏面其實不是去伐木，而是去觀察樹枝的造型。長成什麼樣子只要稍微的加工就可以做的渾然天成。技巧變得很沒有價值。
這種人往往會被嗤之以鼻，往往會被認為是事後諸葛。但是他們真的沒有預測對嗎？那倒不一定。我身邊就不乏這樣的“高手”。只可惜這樣的高手經常不被人們看好的原因就是他們自己的交易記錄並不怎麼樣。
問題到底出在哪里了呢？這樣的高手通常犯一個毛病，那就是他們只會炫耀自己作預測對的地方。做錯的地方並沒有示人。這裏面是有不同的。不同的就是預測到的地方肯定沒入場。入場的地方肯定沒有做對。
這連“高手”們自己都奇怪，到底是怎麼了？所以他們會迴圈在預測對的地方大肆炫耀來彌補自己錯誤的挫敗感的圈子裏面。而且會非常自信的堅信自己肯定會在投機市場裏面盈利，那只是時間問題。他們認為自己還是沒有研究出更好的方案。
我可以負責任的說，任何人都無法研究出90%以上成功率的方案。我們的大腦比不過很多天才，更比不過電腦。我們自己最好能看清自己，趕緊放棄自己能成為技術派大師的想法吧。
這樣的藉口也無非是在自己的內心深處掩飾自己不敢面對失敗的膽怯心理。其實這個問題要是不及時解決真有可能是困擾一輩子的事情。至少我們沒有那麼多時間和資金支持著這麼個惡性循環。
這一關過了才能從“高手”蛻變成一個真正的穩定盈利者。我的一個學生剛剛接觸外匯的時候跟我說的一句話是：做外匯要看心態。當時我對他的評價是：現在還不是談心態的時候。但如今我對他的勸告就是：控制好自己的情緒。
我自己也經歷過從研究技術－小有成就－成為大家眼中的大師－虧損的挫敗－穩定盈利的人。成為“大師”那段時間裏。我已經不看任何指標了完全憑著感覺下單，的確創造了傲人的喊單記錄。
當一段時間的虧損把我打的暈頭轉向的時候卻變得異常地謹慎和小心。可是虧損並沒有因為我的謹慎而縮小和停止。當我最後再次把一切都交給了規則同時忘掉那些虧損的痛苦經歷的時候才重新再次建立了信心。但是我卻再也無法達到曾經的，別人眼中的那種“完美”。
現在想想其實那種完美是有缺陷的。它讓你進入一種只能成功不能失敗的誤區；進入了一種為了維持“大師”形象變得小心謹慎而錯失機會的誤區。
看到做不到的原因有：
一、不自信
交易系統還是沒有經過千錘百煉。當然這個千錘百煉指的是技術結合入場的千錘百煉，而不單單是模擬和預測的千錘百煉。這絕對是不一樣的，要想在戰場上取勝，沒上過戰場肯定是不行的。無論你演習怎麼成功都沒用，因為演習是不會要你命的。
有個大師的一本書裏提到，每當他屢戰屢敗的時候他就減少倉位，直到信心完全建立起來為止。他不會停止入場，就是要時刻保持著這麼一種狀態。而我們大多數人往往被虧損嚇壞的時候就變得沒有了入場的勇氣。
當發現模擬的不錯的時候再次入場，面臨的更大可能是再次的虧損。就是因為你的技術感覺在而作戰狀態其實並不跟隨著你。當你不畏艱險用輕倉累積了更多次的成功的時候，你才會再次變得自信。在逐步增大倉位的時候才能變得不畏縮。那時候我的切身感覺過的就是再次見到了曙光。
二、為錯失入場機會找藉口
其實這是一種軟弱的表現。當我們知道穩定盈利的交易方案而錯失機會的時候其最主要的根源在於軟弱。這其實比做錯了還應該受到責備。錯失入場機會的人往往會通過這樣的理由告訴別人其實也在告訴自己還是能夠有入場能力的，只不過是小概率的事件影響了自己。
經常這麼做的人在面臨入場機會的時候還會軟弱，因為還有“判斷正確”這個心理獎賞在等著自己。這種狀態是活在精神意淫中。如果把“不為失敗找藉口，只為成功做準備”當成自己的座右銘。告訴自己。
錯過比做錯更有危害的時候這種心理狀態才能慢慢扭轉。如果還沒達到這種狀態，那麼先從別到處宣揚自己的“正確判斷”開始吧。現在應該明白了。這應該比做錯錯誤更大。
三、“利字當頭”
很多人在有了一段穩定的盈利，更尤甚者是模擬穩定盈利了之後會說：我要是這麼一天5%，那麼我一年會如何如何，5年會身家億萬，用不了10年就超巴菲特，蓋茨等等。其實要是一天虧這麼多呢，那麼用不了1年就能進丐幫了。
我們的確都是因為盈利才來到這個搶錢市場。但是我們只想到盈利而不想到有可能造成的虧損就會歷經無畏到畏縮恐懼的過程。市場還是市場，它根本就不會因為你的無畏還是畏縮而有絲毫的改變。而這兩個來自你內心深處的東西都是能絕對的打敗你，讓你根本沒有還手之力。
完全的不想盈利還真的不現實。只不過這兩個心魔的原因就是來自於“利”。從根本上放下了“利”才能變得更從容。說來容易做來不易，其實這真的是個富人的遊戲，在你不在乎得失的時候；在你每次入場都認為我的止損位置的錢我已經下定決心不要的時候會驚人的發現：原來我們竟然想放棄的東西就是放不掉，就是不容易虧損。
中國的文化很有意思，利其實是鋒利的意思。如果你只知道現代文裏的意思，就很容易被鋒利的刀刃傷到。避免“利”其實是在避免遇到鋒利。
四、名譽為大
這個問題往往發生在一些資深交易員身上。當自己取得了不錯的成績並且被眾人認可，並且非常強烈的願望希望能通過自己的經驗讓周圍的人獲利；希望用自己的經驗獲取更多多鮮花、美譽、和掌聲的時候。問題出現了。
多年的經驗不管用了，急躁的心情使得越想贏利越虧損，越想彌補虧損窟窿越大。“不能錯”這個想法讓自己裹足不前，每每放走盈利的機會。就是想向眾人展示自己沒有錯。這時候多年的交易系統已經變得不清晰了。
當被懊惱、悔恨纏繞的時候哪里還有什麼判斷？只有當自己放平心態，把自己再次歸零，不去急著像別人證明自己是“大師”，不去急著挽回多年建立的名譽。完全把自己看成一個初學者，聽不見周圍的口舌的時候，狀態才再次回到你這裏。這也是一個較漫長難以突破的過程。
五、貪生怕死
有句古話：未知生何知死。沒死過的人怎麼就一定認為死是件很痛苦的事呢？《莊子》裏面的一個故事。一個美女在被嫁到皇宮之前哭的死去活來。但是一到皇宮裏發現過的神仙般的日子，才知道當時的恐懼真是可笑。
我們在市場裏面都是會把沒有來臨的虧損在自己的心裏面放大。比方說一個公平的賭場，而且在賠率明顯傾向賭客的賭場。讓一個人去賠掉一萬美金，幾乎每個人都會認為很容易；但是如果讓你去賺一萬美金呢？每個人都會覺得很難。
其實是一樣的，有多容易賠錢就有多容易賺錢。只不過是我們心裏在作怪罷了。我們把沒有來臨的風險看得過重。這導致我們在取得蠅頭小利的時候可能會見好就跑。因為你太害怕虧損了。忘掉生死，去達到一個無我的狀態，才能敢於去賺大錢。否則你守不住你的賺錢的倉位。
《莊子》裏面還有個故事。一個專門給皇帝做祭祀用的架子的工匠，做出來的東西鬼斧神功，惟妙惟肖。很多人認為這個工匠一定是技藝高超到了登峰造極的地步。其實那個工匠說：每次接到這個任務的時候他都要齋戒。
當齋戒到三天的時候就可以忘利，齋戒到10天的時候可以忘名，到半個月的時候就能達到忘生死的地步。他到了樹林裏面其實不是去伐木，而是去觀察樹枝的造型。長成什麼樣子只要稍微的加工就可以做的渾然天成。技巧變得很沒有價值。
Главный аналитик FXStreet Валерия Беднарик прокомментировала краткосрочный прогноз по EUR/USD:To get more news about трейдинг, you can visit wikifx.com official website.
«Пара EUR/USD торгуется вблизи сопротивления на 1.1645 (23.6% коррекции последнего дневного снижения). На 4-часовом графике технические индикаторы направлены вверх в пределах зеленой зоне, а пара растет выше все еще бычьей 20 SMA, что говорит в пользу продолжения рота в случае пробоя упомянутого сопротивления. С другой стороны 100 и 200 SMA сохраняют медвежий уклон, держась намного выше текущей цены, что говорит в пользу того, что рост может быть лишь коррективным.
«Пара EUR/USD торгуется вблизи сопротивления на 1.1645 (23.6% коррекции последнего дневного снижения). На 4-часовом графике технические индикаторы направлены вверх в пределах зеленой зоне, а пара растет выше все еще бычьей 20 SMA, что говорит в пользу продолжения рота в случае пробоя упомянутого сопротивления. С другой стороны 100 и 200 SMA сохраняют медвежий уклон, держась намного выше текущей цены, что говорит в пользу того, что рост может быть лишь коррективным.
The French financial services provider allegedly committed such violations between 2013 and July 2021.To get more news about Suspicious Regulatory License, you can visit wikifx.com official website.
The US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) announced on Wednesday that it filed and settled charges against Societe Generale, a leading financial services provider based in France, for swap valuation data and supervision failures.
According to the press release, the French banking services provider failed to comply with certain swap dealer requirements for disclosing mid-market marks to counterparties and reported inaccurate swap valuation data to a swaps data repository. The order stated that between 2013 and July 2021, Societe Generale committed such violations to the CFTC regulations, as it adjusted such daily marks for profit, hedging, or other legally impermissible costs or adjustments.
“The order also finds that Société Générale failed to report certain swap valuation data to an SDR accurately. Société Générale also failed to maintain an adequate supervisory system and failed to perform its supervisory obligations diligently with respect to mid-market mark disclosures,” the CFTC noted.
That said, the authority imposed a $1,500,000 civil monetary penalty and issued a cease and desist order while asking Societe Generale to meet the compliance requirements on time. “This is another in a series of cases the CFTC has brought highlighting the need for swap dealer registrants to have an adequate supervisory system and controls in place. Swap dealer registrants must ensure that they make complete and accurate disclosures to counterparties and accurately report swap valuation data to SDRs, and must also diligently perform their supervisory duties,” Vincent McGonagle, CFTCs Acting Director of Enforcement, commented on the matter.
Recent Swap Dealer Non-compliance Cases
For a similar situation, the CFTC recently filed and settled charges against Citibank and Citigroup Global Markets Limited for failing to comply with certain swap dealer requirements. The watchdog argued that Citi did not allegedly report the Legal Entity Identifier (LEI) data to a swap repository known as SDR, among other supervision failures.
The US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) announced on Wednesday that it filed and settled charges against Societe Generale, a leading financial services provider based in France, for swap valuation data and supervision failures.
According to the press release, the French banking services provider failed to comply with certain swap dealer requirements for disclosing mid-market marks to counterparties and reported inaccurate swap valuation data to a swaps data repository. The order stated that between 2013 and July 2021, Societe Generale committed such violations to the CFTC regulations, as it adjusted such daily marks for profit, hedging, or other legally impermissible costs or adjustments.
“The order also finds that Société Générale failed to report certain swap valuation data to an SDR accurately. Société Générale also failed to maintain an adequate supervisory system and failed to perform its supervisory obligations diligently with respect to mid-market mark disclosures,” the CFTC noted.
That said, the authority imposed a $1,500,000 civil monetary penalty and issued a cease and desist order while asking Societe Generale to meet the compliance requirements on time. “This is another in a series of cases the CFTC has brought highlighting the need for swap dealer registrants to have an adequate supervisory system and controls in place. Swap dealer registrants must ensure that they make complete and accurate disclosures to counterparties and accurately report swap valuation data to SDRs, and must also diligently perform their supervisory duties,” Vincent McGonagle, CFTCs Acting Director of Enforcement, commented on the matter.
Recent Swap Dealer Non-compliance Cases
For a similar situation, the CFTC recently filed and settled charges against Citibank and Citigroup Global Markets Limited for failing to comply with certain swap dealer requirements. The watchdog argued that Citi did not allegedly report the Legal Entity Identifier (LEI) data to a swap repository known as SDR, among other supervision failures.
Against the backdrop of eroding fundamentals, markets become increasingly sensitive to political risks as their capacity for inducing market-wide volatility is amplified. When liberal-oriented ideologies – that is, those favoring free trade and integrated capital markets – are being assaulted on a global scale by nationalist and populist movements, uncertainty-driven volatility is the frequent result.To get more news about xm, you can visit wikifx.com official website.
What makes political risk so dangerous and elusive is the limited ability investors have for pricing it in. Traders may therefore find themselves hot under the collar as the global political landscape continues to develop unpredictably. Furthermore, much like the spread of the coronavirus in 2020, political pathogens can have a similar contagion effect.
Generally speaking, markets do not really care about political categorizations but are more concerned with the economic policies embedded in the agenda of whoever holds the reigns of the sovereign. Policies that stimulate economic growth typically act as a magnet for investors looking to park capital where it will garner the highest yield.
These include the implementation of fiscal stimulus plans, fortifying property rights, allowing for goods and capital to flow freely and dissolving growth-sapping regulations. If these policies create adequate inflationary pressure, the central bank may raise interest rates in response. That boosts the underlying return on local assets, reeling in investors and lifting the currency.
Conversely, a government whose underlying ideological predilections go against the gradient of globalization may cause capital flight. Regimes that seek to rip out the threads that have sown economic and political integration usually create a moat of uncertainty that investors do not want to traverse. Themes of ultra-nationalism, protectionism and populism have been frequently shown to have market-disrupting effects.
If a state undergoes an ideological realignment,traders will assess the situation to see if it radically alters their risk-reward set up. If so, they may then reallocate their capital and re-formulate their trading strategies to tilt the balance of risk to reward in their favor. Volatility is stoked in doing so however as reformulated trading strategies are reflected in the market-wide redistribution of capital across various assets.
EUROPE: EUROSCEPTIC POPULISM IN ITALY
In Italy, the 2018 election roiled regional markets and eventually rippled through virtually the entire financial system. The ascendancy of the anti-establishment right-wing Lega Nord and ideologically-ambivalent 5 Star Movement was founded on a campaign of populism with a built-in rejection of the status quo. The uncertainty accompanying this new regime was then promptly priced in and resulted in significantly volatility.
The risk premium for holding Italys assets rose and was reflected in an over-100 percent spike in Italian 10-year bond yields. That showed investors demanding a higher return for tolerating what they perceived to be a higher level of risk. This was also reflected in the dramatic widening of the spread on credit default swaps on Italian sovereign debt amid increased fears that Italy could be the epicenter of another EU debt crisis.
The US Dollar, Japanese Yen and Swiss Franc all gained at the expense of the Euro as investors redirected their capital to anti-risk assets. The Euro‘s suffering was prolonged by a dispute between Rome and Brussels over the former’s budgetary ambitions. The governments fiscal exceptionalism was a feature of their anti-establishment nature that in turn introduced greater uncertainty and was then reflected in a weaker Euro.
LATIN AMERICA: NATIONALIST-POPULISM IN BRAZIL
While President Jair Bolsonaro is generally characterized as a fire-brand nationalist with populist underpinnings, the market reaction to his ascendency was met with open arms by investors. His appointment of Paulo Guedes – a University of Chicago-trained economist with a penchant for privatization and regulatory restructuring – boosted sentiment and investors confidence in Brazilian assets.
What makes political risk so dangerous and elusive is the limited ability investors have for pricing it in. Traders may therefore find themselves hot under the collar as the global political landscape continues to develop unpredictably. Furthermore, much like the spread of the coronavirus in 2020, political pathogens can have a similar contagion effect.
Generally speaking, markets do not really care about political categorizations but are more concerned with the economic policies embedded in the agenda of whoever holds the reigns of the sovereign. Policies that stimulate economic growth typically act as a magnet for investors looking to park capital where it will garner the highest yield.
These include the implementation of fiscal stimulus plans, fortifying property rights, allowing for goods and capital to flow freely and dissolving growth-sapping regulations. If these policies create adequate inflationary pressure, the central bank may raise interest rates in response. That boosts the underlying return on local assets, reeling in investors and lifting the currency.
Conversely, a government whose underlying ideological predilections go against the gradient of globalization may cause capital flight. Regimes that seek to rip out the threads that have sown economic and political integration usually create a moat of uncertainty that investors do not want to traverse. Themes of ultra-nationalism, protectionism and populism have been frequently shown to have market-disrupting effects.
If a state undergoes an ideological realignment,traders will assess the situation to see if it radically alters their risk-reward set up. If so, they may then reallocate their capital and re-formulate their trading strategies to tilt the balance of risk to reward in their favor. Volatility is stoked in doing so however as reformulated trading strategies are reflected in the market-wide redistribution of capital across various assets.
EUROPE: EUROSCEPTIC POPULISM IN ITALY
In Italy, the 2018 election roiled regional markets and eventually rippled through virtually the entire financial system. The ascendancy of the anti-establishment right-wing Lega Nord and ideologically-ambivalent 5 Star Movement was founded on a campaign of populism with a built-in rejection of the status quo. The uncertainty accompanying this new regime was then promptly priced in and resulted in significantly volatility.
The risk premium for holding Italys assets rose and was reflected in an over-100 percent spike in Italian 10-year bond yields. That showed investors demanding a higher return for tolerating what they perceived to be a higher level of risk. This was also reflected in the dramatic widening of the spread on credit default swaps on Italian sovereign debt amid increased fears that Italy could be the epicenter of another EU debt crisis.
The US Dollar, Japanese Yen and Swiss Franc all gained at the expense of the Euro as investors redirected their capital to anti-risk assets. The Euro‘s suffering was prolonged by a dispute between Rome and Brussels over the former’s budgetary ambitions. The governments fiscal exceptionalism was a feature of their anti-establishment nature that in turn introduced greater uncertainty and was then reflected in a weaker Euro.
LATIN AMERICA: NATIONALIST-POPULISM IN BRAZIL
While President Jair Bolsonaro is generally characterized as a fire-brand nationalist with populist underpinnings, the market reaction to his ascendency was met with open arms by investors. His appointment of Paulo Guedes – a University of Chicago-trained economist with a penchant for privatization and regulatory restructuring – boosted sentiment and investors confidence in Brazilian assets.
金融商品取引業者（FX業者）は、2007年9月に施行された金融商品取引法第４６条の６第２項にて、自己資本規制比率を１２０％以上に保つことが義務付けられています。To get more news about マネックス証券, you can visit wikifx.com official website.
自己資本規制比率とは
金融商品取引業者の経営の健全性(安心して利用できる経営状況か)を測る指標のこと。金融商品取引業者が、金融商品取引業を行う上で、保有資産の価格変動等のリスクが顕在化した場合でも、短期間に対応できる支払い能力を有しているかどうかを示す指標です。
自己資本規制比率の義務２
自己資本規制比率は、毎年３月、６月、９月、１２月の四半期ごとに算出し、営業所やホームページ上などで公開する必要があります。
FX会社の自己資本規制比率は、２００％～５００％台が一般的です。
FX会社は自己資本規制比率が高い方が、緊急事態が起きた場合も自己資本で資金をカバーできると考えられます。
自己資本規制比率とは
金融商品取引業者の経営の健全性(安心して利用できる経営状況か)を測る指標のこと。金融商品取引業者が、金融商品取引業を行う上で、保有資産の価格変動等のリスクが顕在化した場合でも、短期間に対応できる支払い能力を有しているかどうかを示す指標です。
自己資本規制比率の義務２
自己資本規制比率は、毎年３月、６月、９月、１２月の四半期ごとに算出し、営業所やホームページ上などで公開する必要があります。
FX会社の自己資本規制比率は、２００％～５００％台が一般的です。
FX会社は自己資本規制比率が高い方が、緊急事態が起きた場合も自己資本で資金をカバーできると考えられます。
Kepala Ekonom Bank Dunia Kawasan Asia Timur dan Pasifik, Aaditya Mattoo, memprediksi pertumbuhan ekonomi Indonesia akan mendekati angka 5% pada 2022 mendatang meskipun sempat mengalami tekanan akibat Covid-19 pada 2020 dan 2021.To get more news about ids international, you can visit wikifx.com official website.
“Kami sangat optimis tingkat pertumbuhan ekonomi Indonesia tahun depan bisa mendekati 5%, dan ini menjadi suatu perbaikan tersendiri,” ujar Mattoo dalam World Bank East Asia and Pacific Economic Update Briefing yang dilakukan secara daring, Selasa (28/9/2021).
Keyakinannya tersebut berangkat dari pantauannya terhadap upaya Pemerintah Indonesia yang menggunakan pendekatan hybrid dalam mengatasi pandemi Covid-19. Artinya, pemerintah berupaya melakukan pengetatan mobilitas untuk menangani kesehatan, tetapi tetap berusaha menjaga perekonomian dalam waktu yang sama.
Lebih lanjut, ia juga memuji percepatan program vaksinasi serta program 3T (tracing, testing, treatment) yang dilakukan oleh Pemerintah Indonesia. Menurutnya, apabila seluruh uaya ini dilakukan bersamaan, Indonesia akan dapat mengatasi Covid-19. “Penyakit ini tidak akan hilang, tapi langkah ini akan membangkitkan ekonomi,” tuturnya.
Meskipun begitu, ia mengakui masih ada beberapa tantangan bagi Indonesia dalam upaya vaksinasi. “Ini adalah negara yang sangat terdesentralisasi sehingga mereka harus mampu melakukan lebih banyak hal untuk mengatasinya, terutama terkait distribusi dan anggaran vaksinasi,” katanya.
“Kami sangat optimis tingkat pertumbuhan ekonomi Indonesia tahun depan bisa mendekati 5%, dan ini menjadi suatu perbaikan tersendiri,” ujar Mattoo dalam World Bank East Asia and Pacific Economic Update Briefing yang dilakukan secara daring, Selasa (28/9/2021).
Keyakinannya tersebut berangkat dari pantauannya terhadap upaya Pemerintah Indonesia yang menggunakan pendekatan hybrid dalam mengatasi pandemi Covid-19. Artinya, pemerintah berupaya melakukan pengetatan mobilitas untuk menangani kesehatan, tetapi tetap berusaha menjaga perekonomian dalam waktu yang sama.
Lebih lanjut, ia juga memuji percepatan program vaksinasi serta program 3T (tracing, testing, treatment) yang dilakukan oleh Pemerintah Indonesia. Menurutnya, apabila seluruh uaya ini dilakukan bersamaan, Indonesia akan dapat mengatasi Covid-19. “Penyakit ini tidak akan hilang, tapi langkah ini akan membangkitkan ekonomi,” tuturnya.
Meskipun begitu, ia mengakui masih ada beberapa tantangan bagi Indonesia dalam upaya vaksinasi. “Ini adalah negara yang sangat terdesentralisasi sehingga mereka harus mampu melakukan lebih banyak hal untuk mengatasinya, terutama terkait distribusi dan anggaran vaksinasi,” katanya.
Renko chart là một cách để xem biến động giá tài sản để lọc ra những biến động giá nhỏ. Bởi vì khi biến động nhỏ bị loại bỏ giúp xu hướng giá dễ phát hiện hơn. Đặc điểm đó khiến Renko trở thành biểu đồ giá ưa thích đối với một số nhà giao dịch.To get more news about renko chart là gì, you can visit wikifx.com official website.
1. Renko chart là gì？
Renko chart là một loại biểu đồ do người Nhật phát triển, được xây dựng bằng cách sử dụng chuyển động giá chứ không lấy cả dữ liệu giá và thời gian tiêu chuẩn như hầu hết các biểu đồ khác.
Nó được đặt tên theo từ tiếng Nhật “renga”, có nghĩa là “gạch” vì biểu đồ trông giống như một loạt các viên gạch. Một viên gạch mới được tạo khi giá di chuyển một lượng cụ thể và mỗi khối được đặt ở một góc 45 độ (lên hoặc xuống) so với viên gạch trước đó. Một viên gạch tăng thường có màu trắng hoặc xanh lá, trong khi một viên gạch giảm thường có màu đen hoặc đỏ.
2. Cách hoạt động của Renko chart
Renko chart được thiết kế để lọc ra các biến động giá nhỏ nhằm giúp nhà giao dịch tập trung vào các xu hướng quan trọng dễ dàng hơn. Mặc dù điều này làm cho xu hướng dễ phát hiện hơn nhưng nhược điểm là một số thông tin về giá bị mất do cấu trúc đơn giản của biểu đồ Renko.
Bước đầu tiên trong việc tạo Renko chart là thiết lập kích thước viên gạch. Nó có thể là $0,1 trên thị trường chứng khoán hoặc 10 pips trên thị trường ngoại hối. Một viên gạch hình thành trên Renko chart sau khi giá đã di chuyển số tiền đó, chứ không phải trước đó.
Mặt khác, biểu đồ nến cho thấy sự chuyển động của giá trong một khoảng thời gian chẳng hạn như một phút hoặc một ngày. Mặc dù có trục thời gian dọc theo đáy biểu đồ Renko, nhưng không có giới hạn thời gian đặt cho thời gian hình thành hộp Renko, có thể mất 2,5 phút, 3 giờ hoặc 8 ngày. Tất cả phụ thuộc vào mức độ biến động của tài sản và kích thước gạch bạn đặt.
Renko chart có hiệu quả trong việc xác định mức hỗ trợ và kháng cự vì ít nhiễu hơn nhiều so với biểu đồ nến. Khi một xu hướng mạnh hình thành, nhà giao dịch Renko có thể đi theo xu hướng đó trong một thời gian dài trước khi viên gạch theo hướng ngược lại xuất hiện.
Các tín hiệu giao dịch thường được tạo ra khi hướng của xu hướng thay đổi và các viên gạch thay đổi màu sắc.
3. Sử dụng Renko chart trong giao dịch như thế nào？
Cách đơn giản nhất để giao dịch với đồ thị Renko đó là giao dịch Breakout.
Mặc dù chúng ta nhìn backtest trên biểu đồ Renko này chúng ta thấy nó sẽ rất đúng đắn nhưng trong thực tế đây cũng là một đồ thị tĩnh. Giá có thể chạy rất xa trước khi đóng cửa và tạo một viên gạch khác màu.
Do bản chất hành động giá cơ bản của Renko, các nhà giao dịch thường sử dụng các chỉ báo kỹ thuật để cung cấp thông tin bổ sung trong biểu đồ của họ và củng cố hoặc cảnh báo chống lại các tín hiệu mua và bán. Chẳng hạn, sự hội tụ / phân kỳ trung bình động (MACD) là một thước đo động lượng giá cho tín hiệu tăng khi đường MACD vượt qua đường tín hiệu và tín hiệu giảm khi đường MACD đi qua đường tín hiệu. Cả hai dòng được tạo bằng cách sử dụng giá trung bình động theo cấp số nhân trong các khoảng thời gian khác nhau, với giá gần đây hơn cho trọng số lớn hơn.
4. Tại sao nên dùng Renko thay cho nến Nhật？
Sự khác biệt nổi bật nhất đó là Renko mượt mà hơn. Mỗi viên gạch trong Renko có giá khá giống nhau, tạo cho biểu đồ một diện mạo đồng nhất. Còn trên biểu đồ nến Nhật, mỗi thân nến và bóng của nó xuất hiện khác nhau.
Một viên gạch Renko mới luôn hình thành ở góc trên cùng hoặc dưới cùng bên phải của viên gạch Renko cuối cùng, có nghĩa là hành động giá luôn được mô tả ở góc 45 độ. Điều đó có nghĩa là các viên gạch không bao giờ bên cạnh nhau.
Một điểm khác biệt lớn giữa hai loại biểu đồ là biểu đồ Renko không luôn cung cấp cho bạn thông tin mới nhất. Biểu đồ chỉ cập nhật khi một viên gạch mới được tạo. Biểu đồ nến và biểu đồ Renko được chụp cùng một lúc thường hiển thị các mức giá khác nhau. Đó là bởi vì biểu đồ nến luôn hiển thị giá hoặc giao dịch cuối cùng (giả sử bạn có báo giá theo thời gian thực), trong khi biểu đồ Renko hiển thị giá đã tạo ra viên gạch cuối cùng.
Bởi vì biểu đồ Renko dựa trên kích thước gạch, chúng cũng sẽ không phản ánh chính xác mức giá cao hoặc thấp của tài sản đạt được. Kích thước gạch càng nhỏ, thông tin giá sẽ cập nhật nhanh hơn trên biểu đồ Renko. Nhưng một kích thước gạch nhỏ hơn cũng sẽ làm cho biểu đồ trông rối hơn.
1. Renko chart là gì？
Renko chart là một loại biểu đồ do người Nhật phát triển, được xây dựng bằng cách sử dụng chuyển động giá chứ không lấy cả dữ liệu giá và thời gian tiêu chuẩn như hầu hết các biểu đồ khác.
Nó được đặt tên theo từ tiếng Nhật “renga”, có nghĩa là “gạch” vì biểu đồ trông giống như một loạt các viên gạch. Một viên gạch mới được tạo khi giá di chuyển một lượng cụ thể và mỗi khối được đặt ở một góc 45 độ (lên hoặc xuống) so với viên gạch trước đó. Một viên gạch tăng thường có màu trắng hoặc xanh lá, trong khi một viên gạch giảm thường có màu đen hoặc đỏ.
2. Cách hoạt động của Renko chart
Renko chart được thiết kế để lọc ra các biến động giá nhỏ nhằm giúp nhà giao dịch tập trung vào các xu hướng quan trọng dễ dàng hơn. Mặc dù điều này làm cho xu hướng dễ phát hiện hơn nhưng nhược điểm là một số thông tin về giá bị mất do cấu trúc đơn giản của biểu đồ Renko.
Bước đầu tiên trong việc tạo Renko chart là thiết lập kích thước viên gạch. Nó có thể là $0,1 trên thị trường chứng khoán hoặc 10 pips trên thị trường ngoại hối. Một viên gạch hình thành trên Renko chart sau khi giá đã di chuyển số tiền đó, chứ không phải trước đó.
Mặt khác, biểu đồ nến cho thấy sự chuyển động của giá trong một khoảng thời gian chẳng hạn như một phút hoặc một ngày. Mặc dù có trục thời gian dọc theo đáy biểu đồ Renko, nhưng không có giới hạn thời gian đặt cho thời gian hình thành hộp Renko, có thể mất 2,5 phút, 3 giờ hoặc 8 ngày. Tất cả phụ thuộc vào mức độ biến động của tài sản và kích thước gạch bạn đặt.
Renko chart có hiệu quả trong việc xác định mức hỗ trợ và kháng cự vì ít nhiễu hơn nhiều so với biểu đồ nến. Khi một xu hướng mạnh hình thành, nhà giao dịch Renko có thể đi theo xu hướng đó trong một thời gian dài trước khi viên gạch theo hướng ngược lại xuất hiện.
Các tín hiệu giao dịch thường được tạo ra khi hướng của xu hướng thay đổi và các viên gạch thay đổi màu sắc.
3. Sử dụng Renko chart trong giao dịch như thế nào？
Cách đơn giản nhất để giao dịch với đồ thị Renko đó là giao dịch Breakout.
Mặc dù chúng ta nhìn backtest trên biểu đồ Renko này chúng ta thấy nó sẽ rất đúng đắn nhưng trong thực tế đây cũng là một đồ thị tĩnh. Giá có thể chạy rất xa trước khi đóng cửa và tạo một viên gạch khác màu.
Do bản chất hành động giá cơ bản của Renko, các nhà giao dịch thường sử dụng các chỉ báo kỹ thuật để cung cấp thông tin bổ sung trong biểu đồ của họ và củng cố hoặc cảnh báo chống lại các tín hiệu mua và bán. Chẳng hạn, sự hội tụ / phân kỳ trung bình động (MACD) là một thước đo động lượng giá cho tín hiệu tăng khi đường MACD vượt qua đường tín hiệu và tín hiệu giảm khi đường MACD đi qua đường tín hiệu. Cả hai dòng được tạo bằng cách sử dụng giá trung bình động theo cấp số nhân trong các khoảng thời gian khác nhau, với giá gần đây hơn cho trọng số lớn hơn.
4. Tại sao nên dùng Renko thay cho nến Nhật？
Sự khác biệt nổi bật nhất đó là Renko mượt mà hơn. Mỗi viên gạch trong Renko có giá khá giống nhau, tạo cho biểu đồ một diện mạo đồng nhất. Còn trên biểu đồ nến Nhật, mỗi thân nến và bóng của nó xuất hiện khác nhau.
Một viên gạch Renko mới luôn hình thành ở góc trên cùng hoặc dưới cùng bên phải của viên gạch Renko cuối cùng, có nghĩa là hành động giá luôn được mô tả ở góc 45 độ. Điều đó có nghĩa là các viên gạch không bao giờ bên cạnh nhau.
Một điểm khác biệt lớn giữa hai loại biểu đồ là biểu đồ Renko không luôn cung cấp cho bạn thông tin mới nhất. Biểu đồ chỉ cập nhật khi một viên gạch mới được tạo. Biểu đồ nến và biểu đồ Renko được chụp cùng một lúc thường hiển thị các mức giá khác nhau. Đó là bởi vì biểu đồ nến luôn hiển thị giá hoặc giao dịch cuối cùng (giả sử bạn có báo giá theo thời gian thực), trong khi biểu đồ Renko hiển thị giá đã tạo ra viên gạch cuối cùng.
Bởi vì biểu đồ Renko dựa trên kích thước gạch, chúng cũng sẽ không phản ánh chính xác mức giá cao hoặc thấp của tài sản đạt được. Kích thước gạch càng nhỏ, thông tin giá sẽ cập nhật nhanh hơn trên biểu đồ Renko. Nhưng một kích thước gạch nhỏ hơn cũng sẽ làm cho biểu đồ trông rối hơn.
Investors sidelined the British pound on gas shortage, higher inflation concerns, economic slowdown and Brexit woes.To get more news about ingot brokers, you can visit wikifx.com official website.
The GBP/USD pair remains muted following the previous days downfall. The pair crumbled below 1.3600 for the first time since July on fresh strength in the greenback and the UK domestic factors,which acted as headwind for the sterling. At the time of writing, GBP/USD is trading at 1.3546, up 0.07% for the day.
Investors ditched risky assets in the wake of Chinas Evergrande default risk and growing concerns on the pace of global economic recovery. Dow Jones lost almost 570 points whereas Nasdaq fell more than 2% since March. The risk sentiment cooled down a little after Evergrande Group said it plans to sell a $1.5 billion stake in Shengjing Bank ltd. It is worth mentioning that S&P 500 Futures is trading at 4,365.50 with 0.51% gains.
The US Dollar Index (DXY) trades, which tracks the performance of the greenback against its six major rivals, pares some of its earlier gains and retreats slightly below 93.70. Earlier in the day, the greenback zoomed to its highest in more than 10-months, tracing the rise in US Treasury bond yields. The US benchmark 10-year Treasury yields rose to 1.54% and continued to feed on the US Federal Reserve hawkish stance.
The gains were contained further for the US dollar as US Senate Republicans blocked a bid by the US President Joe Bidens Democrats to head off a potentially crippling US credit default.
Meanwhile, St. Louis President James Brian Bullard forecasted 5.8% US Gross Domestic Growth (GDP) for 2021.
On the other hand, the British pound struggled with many of its domestic factors starting with a surge in gas prices with a run on fuel stations. Furthermore, the sharp rise in gas and fuel prices heightens inflationary concerns and economic slowdown fears.
As for now, traders keep their focus on the release of the UK‘s Bank of England (BOE) Consumer Credit, and the US and the UK central banks’ officers' speeches to gauge the market sentiment.
The GBP/USD pair remains muted following the previous days downfall. The pair crumbled below 1.3600 for the first time since July on fresh strength in the greenback and the UK domestic factors,which acted as headwind for the sterling. At the time of writing, GBP/USD is trading at 1.3546, up 0.07% for the day.
Investors ditched risky assets in the wake of Chinas Evergrande default risk and growing concerns on the pace of global economic recovery. Dow Jones lost almost 570 points whereas Nasdaq fell more than 2% since March. The risk sentiment cooled down a little after Evergrande Group said it plans to sell a $1.5 billion stake in Shengjing Bank ltd. It is worth mentioning that S&P 500 Futures is trading at 4,365.50 with 0.51% gains.
The US Dollar Index (DXY) trades, which tracks the performance of the greenback against its six major rivals, pares some of its earlier gains and retreats slightly below 93.70. Earlier in the day, the greenback zoomed to its highest in more than 10-months, tracing the rise in US Treasury bond yields. The US benchmark 10-year Treasury yields rose to 1.54% and continued to feed on the US Federal Reserve hawkish stance.
The gains were contained further for the US dollar as US Senate Republicans blocked a bid by the US President Joe Bidens Democrats to head off a potentially crippling US credit default.
Meanwhile, St. Louis President James Brian Bullard forecasted 5.8% US Gross Domestic Growth (GDP) for 2021.
On the other hand, the British pound struggled with many of its domestic factors starting with a surge in gas prices with a run on fuel stations. Furthermore, the sharp rise in gas and fuel prices heightens inflationary concerns and economic slowdown fears.
As for now, traders keep their focus on the release of the UK‘s Bank of England (BOE) Consumer Credit, and the US and the UK central banks’ officers' speeches to gauge the market sentiment.
The Australian Dollar remains slightly higher versus the US Dollar after China‘s National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) reported mixed PMI data. The purchasing managers’ index for the manufacturing sector fell into contractionary territory to 49.6 in September, missing the consensus expectation of 50.0 and down from 50.1 in August. PMI for the services sector (non-manufacturing) crossed the wires at 53.2, beating estimates of 49.8.To get more news about ids international, you can visit wikifx.com official website.
The composite reading rose to 51.7 from 48.9 – which indicates an overall expansion in activity across the two sectors. Chinas Caixin Global released its own report for manufacturing activity, which crossed the wires at 50.0 versus an expected 49.5. Caixin surveys small to medium sized firms compared to larger firms in the NBS survey. The data may show that smaller firms have skirted the larger impact of policy measures to limit pollution and curb energy usage.
AUD/USD gave a moderate upside reaction to the data, with traders appearing to focus on the rosy services sector data versus the drop into contractionary territory in the manufacturing sector. The Chinese government has favored support to consumers rather than factories and industry in recent months. The People‘s Bank of China (PBOC) shifted into a more supportive stance following the Evergrande Group’s missed interest payments.
The initial news wires over China‘s second largest real estate developer and its inability to service its debt obligations roiled global markets earlier this month. However, traders appear to have overestimated contagion risks at first. The PBOC’s amped up support has also helped to cool jitters, with increased liquidity injections through 7- and 14-day reverse repos.
China is also facing a potential energy crisis as power grid demand rises alongside a commensurate rise in energy fuel products like natural gas and coal. Beijing is responding by capping the rates at which power plants can charge customers. At the same time, policymakers are curbing production across factories to cool demand. This will likely keep manufacturing activity suppressed for the time being. On the other hand, these decisions bode well for Chinas consumer base – which may underpin services activity.
AUD/USD prices are rebounding modestly after piercing below a level of support during this weeks risk-off trading. Bulls are unlikely to take the prior support level unless upside momentum accelerates substantially, with prices down near a full percent on the week. MACD is tracking lower on the 8-hour time frame, suggesting healthy downside momentum.
The composite reading rose to 51.7 from 48.9 – which indicates an overall expansion in activity across the two sectors. Chinas Caixin Global released its own report for manufacturing activity, which crossed the wires at 50.0 versus an expected 49.5. Caixin surveys small to medium sized firms compared to larger firms in the NBS survey. The data may show that smaller firms have skirted the larger impact of policy measures to limit pollution and curb energy usage.
AUD/USD gave a moderate upside reaction to the data, with traders appearing to focus on the rosy services sector data versus the drop into contractionary territory in the manufacturing sector. The Chinese government has favored support to consumers rather than factories and industry in recent months. The People‘s Bank of China (PBOC) shifted into a more supportive stance following the Evergrande Group’s missed interest payments.
The initial news wires over China‘s second largest real estate developer and its inability to service its debt obligations roiled global markets earlier this month. However, traders appear to have overestimated contagion risks at first. The PBOC’s amped up support has also helped to cool jitters, with increased liquidity injections through 7- and 14-day reverse repos.
China is also facing a potential energy crisis as power grid demand rises alongside a commensurate rise in energy fuel products like natural gas and coal. Beijing is responding by capping the rates at which power plants can charge customers. At the same time, policymakers are curbing production across factories to cool demand. This will likely keep manufacturing activity suppressed for the time being. On the other hand, these decisions bode well for Chinas consumer base – which may underpin services activity.
AUD/USD prices are rebounding modestly after piercing below a level of support during this weeks risk-off trading. Bulls are unlikely to take the prior support level unless upside momentum accelerates substantially, with prices down near a full percent on the week. MACD is tracking lower on the 8-hour time frame, suggesting healthy downside momentum.
In the market of commodity futures, energy futures continue to outperform their counterparts. The majority of this kind have enjoyed the increase by over 50%, among which the most outstanding ones are natural gas and coal futures. The former has risen by 138% since early this year, and the latter has soared by 154%. WTI Crude Oil that most people pay attention to has also increased by 57%. A reason for the rapid growth of prices in this regard is that natural gas and coal are in short supply, combing with winter approaching in the northern hemisphere. It is believed that the market of three energy futures mentioned above may continue to be bullish as the whole world witnesses the energy shortage to different extents currently.To get more news about ic markets, you can visit wikifx.com official website.
The surge of energy prices is conducive to the economy and currency of energy exporters. Therefore, CAD performed well in the last week. It is estimated that the short-term USD/CAD is likely to reach the level at 1.2500 even 1.2422. However, it is worth noticing that the fallout from this surge is the fast escalating inflation in the U.S. instead of the transient one implied by Powell. The inflation data announced by the U.S. in the future may grow dramatically, thus increasing the pressure on the Federal Reserve (Fed) in the field of interest-rate hikes and leading to its introduction ahead of schedule next year. If this comes true, USD will get benefits. The U.S.10-year government bond interest rate has reached 1.5% plus, which indicates that the financial market has predicted that the U.S. has a chance to bring hikes forward.
The 2021 German federal election concluded where no party has pocketed over 30% of total votes. Hence, the Social Democratic Party of Germany (SPD) that secured 25.7% of votes plans to lead a grand coalition with the Greens and the Free Democratic Party (FDP). SPD is less left-leaning than the Greens, whereas FDP is right-leaning, according to their political platforms generally comprised of tax hikes and the increase in welfare expenditure. Capitalists in Germany who disagree with these policies have taken the lead in transferring their assets to Switzerland for tax avoidance in the future. The financial market also concerns that the political platform of SPD may give rise to a fiscal crisis in the country. Consequently, the trend of EUR can remain under pressure because of an uncertain political prospect.
The situation where EUR is under pressure is favorable to DXY. I am prudently optimistic about the trend of DXY in the fourth quarter. However, USD may face a different story. For example, if the pressure of increasing interest rates in Canada and New Zealand is heavier than that in the U.S., their currencies will perform neck and neck in the market. As for USD/EUR, USD/JPY, USD/CHF, and USD/AUD, the market boasts a bullish trend from my perspective.
The surge of energy prices is conducive to the economy and currency of energy exporters. Therefore, CAD performed well in the last week. It is estimated that the short-term USD/CAD is likely to reach the level at 1.2500 even 1.2422. However, it is worth noticing that the fallout from this surge is the fast escalating inflation in the U.S. instead of the transient one implied by Powell. The inflation data announced by the U.S. in the future may grow dramatically, thus increasing the pressure on the Federal Reserve (Fed) in the field of interest-rate hikes and leading to its introduction ahead of schedule next year. If this comes true, USD will get benefits. The U.S.10-year government bond interest rate has reached 1.5% plus, which indicates that the financial market has predicted that the U.S. has a chance to bring hikes forward.
The 2021 German federal election concluded where no party has pocketed over 30% of total votes. Hence, the Social Democratic Party of Germany (SPD) that secured 25.7% of votes plans to lead a grand coalition with the Greens and the Free Democratic Party (FDP). SPD is less left-leaning than the Greens, whereas FDP is right-leaning, according to their political platforms generally comprised of tax hikes and the increase in welfare expenditure. Capitalists in Germany who disagree with these policies have taken the lead in transferring their assets to Switzerland for tax avoidance in the future. The financial market also concerns that the political platform of SPD may give rise to a fiscal crisis in the country. Consequently, the trend of EUR can remain under pressure because of an uncertain political prospect.
The situation where EUR is under pressure is favorable to DXY. I am prudently optimistic about the trend of DXY in the fourth quarter. However, USD may face a different story. For example, if the pressure of increasing interest rates in Canada and New Zealand is heavier than that in the U.S., their currencies will perform neck and neck in the market. As for USD/EUR, USD/JPY, USD/CHF, and USD/AUD, the market boasts a bullish trend from my perspective.