UBS Group AG and Citigroup Inc. are at odds on how Singapore‘s move to
cap dividend payouts at the nation’s banks will play out for equity
investors.To get more news about
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Citigroup says the move will be viewed negatively by investors as
dividend yield is an important factor when considering buying bank
stocks. UBS sees the central banks move as prudent in the context of the
coronavirus pandemic and no threat to the sustainability of payouts.
Singapore‘s central bank on Wednesday ordered lenders to cap their
2020 dividends at 60% of last year’s levels, a move in line with other
global central banks actions in the wake of the pandemic. The lenders
command the biggest weighting in the MSCI Asean Index and are set to
announce their quarterly earnings next week
“The short term and prudent nature of this measure does not raise any
question marks on the long-term sustainability of dividends,” UBS Group
analyst Aakash Rawat wrote in a note. “Investors with a slightly longer
term horizon are likely to see this weakness as a buying opportunity.”

The impact seems greatest for DBS Group Holdings Ltd., which investors
see as a bigger proxy for generating dividend income than its peers, he
wrote.
‘Viewed as Negative’
“This will be viewed as negative for the banks as the dividend yield
is considered an important component of the investment thesis for owning
these names, especially DBS,” Citigroup analysts Robert Kong and Weldon
Sng wrote in a note.
The cut in dividends will add to the pain of a sharp sequential fall
in net interest margins and may prompt banks to front-load provisions,
they wrote.
Prefer SGX to Banks
Jefferies Financial Group Inc. prefers shares of Singapore Exchange
Ltd. to those of the nation‘s banks citing the bourse’s “similar but
fully underwritten cash yield,” according to a note.
The announcement will weigh on sentiment as yield gets capped at
around 4% versus 6% previously, although investors should remember the
strong capital positions of the banks, analyst Krishna Guha wrote.
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